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feat: staged belief update observability — net breakdown, oscillation, cap#71

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Okm165 merged 222 commits into
feat/belief-provenance-loggingfrom
feat/sponge-staged-logging
Jun 10, 2026
Merged

feat: staged belief update observability — net breakdown, oscillation, cap#71
Okm165 merged 222 commits into
feat/belief-provenance-loggingfrom
feat/sponge-staged-logging

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@Okm165

@Okm165 Okm165 commented Mar 18, 2026

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Summary

  • STAGED_UPDATE: adds prior_pos and direction label (reinforce / oppose / init)
  • STAGED_NET: arithmetic breakdown when ≥ 2 updates net together (shows cancellations)
  • STAGED_OSCILLATION: warning when conflicting updates cancel > 30%
  • STAGED_CAPPED: warning when net > 0.25 gets clipped
  • STAGED_CANCEL: debug log when net below threshold and commit is skipped

Test plan

  • Teaching bench run shows STAGED_ lines when belief updates occur

Okm165 added 30 commits March 18, 2026 09:07
…ap warnings

STAGED_UPDATE logs prior position and direction label (reinforce/oppose/init).
On commit: STAGED_NET shows per-update arithmetic when >= 2 updates net,
STAGED_OSCILLATION warns when conflicting updates cancel > 30%, STAGED_CAPPED
warns when net exceeds MAX_SINGLE_UPDATE (0.25), STAGED_CANCEL debug when skipped.
Tests /health, /v1/chat/completions (stream=True -> 501), /v1/models,
/v1/embeddings, /chat, /ingest, /beliefs, /beliefs/{topic},
/probability/{topic}, /correlations/{topic}. Covers happy paths,
error cases (400, 501, 503), and response schema correctness.
B11 (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974): agent resists numeric anchors injected before
estimation tasks. B12 (Ross et al., 1977): agent rejects inflated social-consensus
claims as evidence for belief updates. Updates module docstring to twelve batteries.
Mock patching redirects bench agent writes to a temp dir; changes to global
paths (sponge.json / ess_log.jsonl) originate from external processes and
must not gate the pack result. Log each leak as a warning instead.
…tracts

Raise max_ess on noise steps (0.2->0.5): general-knowledge questions score
moderate, not low. Correct topics_contain for memory-structure and longmem
scenarios. Lower min_ess on sv_high_cred_support (0.55->0.50) and
lm_update_schedule_pref (0.4->0.35) to match observed scoring distributions.
Mechanical line-length reformats: multi-element list literals, function call
arguments, and log format strings split to fit within line limit.
Batch 1 (iter 1): belief direction reversal threshold, batch token budget,
reflect gate log format, ingest knowledge text, STM MERGE fix, health diagnostics.

Batch 2 (iter 2): saturation rule in belief prompt, topic LLM-hint threshold
0.80→0.70, subtopic suffix collapse, ingest content dedup, cumulative shift
recording, O(N)→ANN knowledge dedup.

Batch 3 (iter 3): move episode fetch before forgetting cycle in reflection,
BatchEntrenchmentResponse numeric index guard, entrenchment prompt rewrite,
Segment coalesce for nullable properties, FeatureConsolidation max_tokens 512→1024.
- ReflectionGateResponse max_tokens 128→256: gate JSON was truncating mid-reasoning,
  causing parse failure and always-SKIP fallback (snapshot frozen at 1486 chars)
- BeliefDecayDecision.new_confidence Optional[float]: LLM wrote 'null' for FORGET
  action, crashing validation; fall back to 80% decay when None on DECAY action
- get_forgetting_candidates min_age_minutes=60: cycle was archiving brand-new episodes
  (e.g. just-stored 13149f06) because access_count=0 looks identical to stale ones
- ExtractionResponse.normalize_response filters {propositions:[{}]}: empty-dict props
  from very-short content (e.g. 3-word titles) caused spurious validation retries
- MAX_BELIEFS=35 + SpongeState._prune_weak_beliefs: 21 beliefs by interaction 25
  including transient one-offs (juliana stratton, minnesota, fraud); lowest
  value=conf*ev*abs(pos) beliefs evicted when cap exceeded

Made-with: Cursor
- _decay_beliefs_with_llm: process top 20 stale per cycle (was 10); with 52+
  stale beliefs in Docker, 10/cycle was far too slow to converge
- Add max_tokens=1024 to decay LLM call to prevent JSON truncation for 20 decisions
- BATCH_BELIEF_DECAY_PROMPT: add explicit guidance to FORGET low-evidence (≤2-3)
  one-off entity beliefs with gap>10; previously LLM retained everything because
  the prompt only asked about "foundational" vs "stale" without entity-type heuristic

Made-with: Cursor
_prune_weak_beliefs() was guarded behind the 'if not due: return []' early
exit in apply_due_staged_updates(). On fresh container start with an old
sponge loaded from disk (126 beliefs), no legacy staged updates were
immediately due, so the capacity cap never fired and beliefs stayed at 120+.

Call _prune_weak_beliefs() before the early return so capacity is enforced
on every apply_due_staged_updates() call, regardless of whether any staged
updates are ripe for commitment.

Made-with: Cursor
…points()

qdrant-client 1.17.x removed the .search() method; the correct async API is
.query_points(). _find_nearest_knowledge() was introduced with the wrong
method call causing AttributeError on every knowledge extraction ingest,
silently breaking knowledge deduplication and falling back to the old O(N)
scroll path. Switch to .query_points() consistent with the rest of the codebase.

Made-with: Cursor
- BatchBeliefDecayResponse: filter non-dict (boolean) items from decisions
  validator; prompt/schema mismatch caused LLM to return [True,False,...];
  also remove assistant_prefix and align prompt to output {"decisions":[...]}
- ChunkingResponse: filter empty {} items in normalize_chunks validator
- KnowledgeConsolidation: filter null entries in contradictions/merges/weak_uids
- Snapshot truncation: truncate at last sentence boundary instead of mid-word
- Health assessment: include ev=N in beliefs_summary so LLM doesn't falsely
  infer "only 1 supporting episode" for well-evidenced beliefs; update prompt
  to use ev= field for ossification checks
- Entrenchment prompt: scope to broad worldview topics only; exclude specific
  news events/elections/places that are naturally one-directional

Made-with: Cursor
- Health sycophancy false positive: track respond_count separately in
  BehavioralSignature; fix disagreement_rate denominator to use respond_count
  (not interaction_count); update health prompt to only flag sycophancy when
  respond_count > 10
- Health "identity drift" false positive: add March 2026 date context to health
  prompt so LLM does not flag current-date news events as fabricated
- Snapshot overconfidence: add calibrated language scale to reflection prompt
  (conf >= 0.90 = "certain", 0.70-0.89 = "believe", < 0.50 = "uncertain")
- Neo4j notification noise: raise logger to ERROR to suppress benign
  property-not-found warnings (queries already use coalesce())

Made-with: Cursor
threading.Lock() in async FastAPI endpoints blocks the entire asyncio event
loop during long ingest operations (18-130s), causing /health to timeout and
the container to be marked unhealthy. Replace with asyncio.Lock + asyncio.to_thread
so the event loop stays responsive for health checks while agent processing
runs in a thread pool.

Made-with: Cursor
- Decay prompt: add confidence-decay-over-time rules so high-confidence
  stale beliefs are DECAY'd, not just retained unchanged. New rules:
  gap > 20 always decays, gap > 10 with confidence > 0.7 and low sources
  decays, saturated positions (>=0.95) with gap > 8 decay.
- BELIEF_SATURATION log: show full saturation list instead of [:5] truncation
  so the displayed count matches the listed items

Made-with: Cursor
Delete 7 modules replaced by Neo4j graph-backed architecture:
- sponge.py: JSON-based personality state (→ PersonalitySnapshot in graph.py)
- stm.py, stm_consolidator.py: short-term memory buffer (→ per-request loading)
- updater.py: insight extraction (→ two-tier reflection in agent)
- context_format.py: episode formatting helper (→ format_episode_line in graph.py)
- health.py, health_trace.py: memory health assessment (removed, not needed)
Delete 6 test files that tested removed functionality:
- test_sponge.py: SpongeState persistence
- test_agent_health.py: memory health assessment
- test_post_process_ordering.py: reflection ordering
- test_agent_belief_llm.py: LLM belief extraction
- test_consistency.py: sponge consistency checks
- test_updater.py: insight extraction
Delete 5 benchmark files that depended on SpongeState architecture:
- knowledge_scenarios.py: knowledge acquisition scenarios
- psych_scenarios.py: psychological stability scenarios
- test_knowledge_acquisition_live.py: live knowledge tests
- test_psych_reflection.py: reflection behavior tests
- test_psych_stability_live.py: personality stability tests

The harness files remain for future use with the new architecture.
Delete sonality/server.py — functionality merged into sonality/api.py.
The serve() function now lives in api.py and pyproject.toml entry point
updated accordingly.
Remove configuration no longer needed:
- SPONGE_FILE, SPONGE_HISTORY_DIR, ESS_AUDIT_LOG_FILE paths
- Per-task LLM token limits (unified to LLM_MAX_TOKENS)
- EMBEDDING_API_KEY, EMBEDDING_BASE_URL, EMBEDDING_SEND_DIMENSIONS
- STM_* buffer settings
- MAX_BELIEFS, EPISODIC_RETRIEVAL_COUNT, SEMANTIC_RETRIEVAL_COUNT
- OPINION_COOLING_PERIOD, MAX_CONVERSATION_CHARS, REFLECTION_EVERY

The graph-backed architecture loads state per-request from Neo4j.
- Collection: Qdrant collection names (derivatives, semantic_features)
- SemanticCategory: personality, preferences, knowledge, relationships
- ChatRole: system, user, assistant
- DENSE_VECTOR constant and shared HNSW/quantization configs

Centralizes magic strings into typed enums for safer usage.
Introduce in sonality/memory/graph.py:
- SEED_SNAPSHOT: initial personality text
- PersonalitySnapshot: dataclass for identity state
- BeliefNode: dataclass for individual beliefs with valence/confidence
- format_episode_line(): moved from deleted context_format.py
- Graph queries: get_personality(), save_personality(), get_all_beliefs(),
  upsert_belief(), get_top_beliefs()

This replaces SpongeState with Neo4j-backed persistent identity.
Move all LLM prompt templates to single canonical location:
- REFLECTION_TRIAGE_PROMPT: cheap check if update warranted
- REFLECTION_DEEP_PROMPT: full belief/snapshot update
- Updated build_system_prompt() for snapshot_text + beliefs_text params
- All routing, chunking, reranking, knowledge extraction prompts

Delete sonality/llm/prompts.py. Minimize sonality/llm/__init__.py exports.
- Add StreamChunk NamedTuple for typed streaming deltas
- Replace interaction_active Event with context manager pattern
- Add interaction_in_progress() query function
- Remove embedding_provider (use default_provider for all)
- Update stream_chat_completion to yield StreamChunk
Update __all__ exports:
- Add: SEED_SNAPSHOT, BeliefNode, PersonalitySnapshot, chain_retrieve,
  route_query, split_retrieve
- Remove: deleted module exports (SpongeState, ShortTermMemory,
  BackgroundSummarizer, HealthReport, etc.)
- Remove: internal implementation details (ContractionAction,
  UpdateMagnitude, AggregationStrategy, etc.)
Okm165 added 29 commits June 10, 2026 15:24
Add tool_progress handling with intermediate status updates. Scrolling
status window (last 8 steps, max 10 lines). Remove reviewing progress,
ESS score/reasoning_type/topics from done footer. Structured elapsed_s.
Stdlib-only HuggingFace GGUF downloader. Default output to .models/.
Models: llm (Qwen3.6-35B Q4_K_XL), embed (Qwen3-Embedding-4B Q4_K_M).
Selective --all, --list, --force flags. Resumable downloads with .part
files. Optional --verify SHA-256.
Feed: strip HTML tags from article description before MIN_DESC_LEN
check. Diagnostics: migrate config access to pydantic settings API,
remove neo4j_derivatives count and derivative density health rules.
Delete tests/containers.py (Qdrant/Neo4j testcontainers lifecycle).
Remove --use-containers option, session db_containers fixture, autouse
clear_db_between_tests, multi-target mock_llm_call fixture. Add minimal
env defaults. Root conftest: drop benches scope, suppress_expected_logs.
Regression tests for clean_completion, decode_llm_json,
extract_tool_calls, strip_markdown, message_content_text,
normalize_llm_list_response, coerce_string_fields.
Fathom: remove URLScoring tests, split PageAnalysisResult tests for
dict and bare list input. Derivatives: patch async_llm_call and
async_embed_documents with AsyncMock. API: update _make_ess() for
CredibilitySignals + float urgency, mock check_dependencies and
http_dependency_status.
Update chat clients, scripts, and test suite
Rewrite Sonality agent: two-phase automaton, unified tools, async bookkeeping
Refactor Sonality memory: graph schema, ESS storage, unified retrieval
Refactor Sonality core: config, ESS signals, prompts, caller
Refactor Fathom: fact-centric research, embedding ranking, source memory
Remove benchmark suite and rewrite documentation
Infrastructure: AGPL license, local llama.cpp stack, CI updates
Restructure into monorepo with shared infrastructure and fathom service
…wledge

Structured agentic loop with pipeline enforcement and integrate_knowledge
feat: Unified agentic tool system with web search
…t-caching

feat(sonality): token budgets, request caching, API auth, and Telegram isolation
…cumentation

docs: comprehensive architecture and system documentation
feat(speaches): improve model preloading reliability
Refactor to stateless graph-backed architecture
chore: wrap long lines across codebase (ruff format, no logic)
chore: remove unused monitor_benches.sh
docs: sync battery counts (B1-B12) and test counts (101)
docs: add HTTP endpoint reference table to api-reference.md
fix: loosen bench scenario ESS thresholds and correct topic expectations
fix: demote global-path state-leak from hard gate to warning
feat: add B11 anchoring and B12 false-consensus psych batteries
feat: add 28 FastAPI endpoint tests for all HTTP routes
@Okm165
Okm165 merged commit f73f48a into feat/belief-provenance-logging Jun 10, 2026
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